Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.011037 0.013279 0.016057 0.019827 0.024929 0.031778 0.042016
2025-05-25 0.007867 0.010241 0.013547 0.018699 0.026977 0.040705 0.067768
2025-06-01 0.006285 0.008583 0.012022 0.017899 0.028573 0.049461 0.102199
2025-06-08 0.005511 0.007834 0.011530 0.018389 0.032378 0.064830 0.174417
2025-06-15 0.004831 0.007066 0.010788 0.018138 0.034579 0.078737 0.277796
2025-06-22 0.004186 0.006239 0.009762 0.017018 0.034349 0.086318 0.386629
2025-06-29 0.003838 0.005847 0.009419 0.017164 0.037244 0.107014 0.700916
2025-07-06 0.003614 0.005632 0.009354 0.017877 0.042090 0.142533 1.683713
2025-07-13 0.003491 0.005574 0.009573 0.019311 0.050119 0.211016 7.926921
2025-07-20 0.003313 0.005388 0.009498 0.020005 0.056359 0.291351 93.532868
2025-07-27 0.003109 0.005127 0.009220 0.020090 0.060525 0.376750 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002945 0.004924 0.009035 0.020380 0.065952 0.511050 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002714 0.004586 0.008547 0.019822 0.068052 0.644545 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002469 0.004201 0.007907 0.018663 0.066598 0.727397 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002276 0.003900 0.007421 0.017863 0.066615 0.866692 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002175 0.003780 0.007341 0.018352 0.074713 1.446078 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002048 0.003590 0.007065 0.018101 0.078216 2.078342 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001893 0.003327 0.006575 0.016985 0.074891 2.240168 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001810 0.003213 0.006446 0.017130 0.081140 3.909230 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001759 0.003162 0.006466 0.017841 0.093325 10.779072 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001738 0.003172 0.006649 0.019272 0.115715 121.345296 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001689 0.003117 0.006648 0.019964 0.133277 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.001623 0.003018 0.006514 0.020048 0.144493 NaN NaN